LA CATÁSTROFE CLIMÁTICA COMO PROFECÍA SECULAR Y MILENARIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29105/bys7.14-134Keywords:
climate change, social movementn, new apocalypticismAbstract
The climate change movement is a powerful cultural entity. It neither affirms nor denies the reality of its central narrative, which is for science to decide, and yet it is culture that explains the power and prevalence of its narrative, the political and social responses to it, and the apparent will of many people to incur immense costs in order to avoid a supposed existential threat, even though our ability to alter its consequences is still doubtful. This narrative uses fear as a powerful motivator that is instilled from childhood and whose apocalyptic condemnation is determined in advance by collective disobedience, while salvation is promised to the pious and repentant who comply with its onerous provisions, many of them useless. In 1983, Michael Barkun, now professor emeritus at Syracuse University in New York, published a meticulous essay that prophetically identifies the emergence of a “new apocalypticism” in the highly politicized media discourse of our time. Selected excerpts are shared below, subjecting them to current public debates on the subject, particularly emphatic in their catastrophic projections and dire consequences.
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References
Barkun, M, 1983. Divided apocalypse: Thinking about the end in contemporary America. Soundings: An Interdisciplinary Journal 6: 257-280. https://www.jstor.org/stable/41178260
“Todo intelectual tiene una responsabilidad muy especial. Tiene el privilegio y la oportunidad de estudiar. A cambio, le debe a sus semejantes (o “a la sociedad”) representar los resultados de su estudio de la manera más simple, clara y modesta que pueda. Lo peor que pueden hacer los intelectuales –el pecado capital– es tratar de erigirse en grandes profetas frente a sus semejantes e impresionarlos con filosofías desconcertantes. Quien no pueda hablar con sencillez y claridad, no debe decir nada y seguir trabajando hasta que pueda hacerlo”. —Karl Popper
Ehrlich,PR, 1968. The Population Bomb. Ballantine Books, Chicago. 201p.
El escenario SSP5-8.5 se ha convertido en un argumento político con beneficios tanto para quienes buscan alarmar a la gente como para quienes con él han señalado los resultados arreglados en la investigación climática pertinente por lo que, dados estos beneficios duales, se espera que su politización se intensifique: Pielke Jr, R & J, Ritchie, 2021. Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios. Energy Research and Social Science 72: 101890. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101890
Meinshausen, M et al, 2020. The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500. Geoscientific Model Development 13: 3571–3605. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3571-2020